5 Checkboxes You Need To Fill In Order To Win
These are the top 5 considerations when determining whether a bet is successful or not.
Check box 1. Distance
Here is a list of questions you absolutely have to ask before you make a bet. By answering all these questions you can determine whether a horse has a chance of success in the given conditions.
1. Can the horse stay the distance?
2. How fast can the horse run over the distance?
3. Will the horse be staying on strongly at the end or tying up?
4. What style of race does the horse normally run. Is it a front runner? Or a hold up horse?
5. Is the horse a fast final furlong finisher or a slow and one paced plodder?
Check box 2. Ground conditions
Here is a list of questions you absolutely have to ask before you make a bet.
1. Can the horse act on the ground?
2. Will the horse get home over the distance on the ground?
3. Will the horse be staying on strongly on the ground or tiring badly at the end of the race?
4. Will the horse get outpaced early on?
5. Can the horse speed up in the final furlong given the ground conditions?
Check box 3. Form
1. Has the horse any decent recent form?
2. Has the horse any decent collateral form with any other horse in the race?
3. What is the best form the horse has to offer and is it better than anything else on offer?
4. Are there any signs that the horse is either coming into form or regressing?
5. Is the horse's trainer in form?
Check box 4. Money
1. Has there been any strong financial support for the horse in the early morning exchanges?
2. Has that support continued in the betting ring?
3. Is the money fluctuating? Up and then down again, perhaps the horse is being traded rather than being genuinely supported?
4. Using the Bet trader pro software estimate the volume of money on each horse. Is there any horse that has a significantly larger sum of money wagered than normal and does the price reflect this?
5. Is the track (such as Wolverhampton) or trainer known for big gambles, and how successful are they?
Check box 5. Value
Value being defined as the true price that accurately reflects a horses chance of winning.
1. What are the horse's true % chance of success? (Make a betting Book)
2. What is the difference between the offered price and the horse's true chance of success?
3. Is the horse being overbacked or by contrast underbacked?
4. Is there any piece of form available that would make the price good value?
5. Is there any negative that would make the price poor value?
Positives are the only way to gauge a horse's chance in any given race. By going through the above checklist you can quickly place yourself in the thick of the action.
There are two other questions you could ask and that is whether the horse is capable of carrying his nominated weight to victory? But in my experience this is usually reflected in the price a horse is in the betting. The second question is whether the horse will act on the course? Once again this is usually reflected in the price the horse is in the betting.
Besides if you bog yourself down asking every conceivable question you will not be able to come to a decision as to a given horse chance. You will simply give yourself too much to do. Best of luck.